Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.159587 0.182033 0.207056 0.237116 0.272378 0.312585 0.362120
2025-11-30 0.125371 0.155441 0.192403 0.241627 0.306134 0.388730 0.504006
2025-12-07 0.102086 0.134254 0.176659 0.237568 0.324341 0.445887 0.633315
2025-12-14 0.088110 0.121416 0.167848 0.238792 0.347141 0.510973 0.786635
2025-12-21 0.077475 0.110953 0.159845 0.238547 0.366146 0.572451 0.947789
2025-12-28 0.070616 0.104675 0.156547 0.244120 0.394197 0.652680 1.159760
2026-01-04 0.064569 0.098643 0.152489 0.247347 0.418270 0.730276 1.387201
2026-01-11 0.059561 0.093509 0.148989 0.250626 0.442530 0.812633 1.646855
2026-01-18 0.055858 0.089984 0.147565 0.257090 0.473499 0.914107 1.977638
2026-01-25 0.051820 0.085386 0.143636 0.258197 0.493998 0.998402 2.295827
2026-02-01 0.048136 0.080971 0.139444 0.258064 0.511748 1.080454 2.635842
2026-02-08 0.044610 0.076453 0.134505 0.255660 0.524097 1.152838 2.975675
2026-02-15 0.041189 0.071849 0.129005 0.251575 0.532594 1.219625 3.330223
2026-02-22 0.039308 0.069933 0.128464 0.257892 0.566417 1.358889 3.964468
2026-03-01 0.036512 0.065993 0.123482 0.253807 0.574540 1.432790 4.420880
2026-03-08 0.034546 0.063478 0.121096 0.255187 0.596585 1.551263 5.089773
2026-03-15 0.032616 0.060851 0.118189 0.254935 0.614393 1.662593 5.790291
2026-03-22 0.031401 0.059553 0.117942 0.260959 0.650335 1.839926 6.856568
2026-03-29 0.030071 0.057895 0.116731 0.264448 0.680014 2.006736 7.982723
2026-04-05 0.028849 0.056351 0.115606 0.267992 0.710703 2.187170 9.295337
2026-04-12 0.027958 0.055435 0.115799 0.274982 0.753388 2.424991 11.076313
2026-04-19 0.026737 0.053695 0.113912 0.276179 0.778413 2.606512 12.699774
2026-04-26 0.025523 0.051869 0.111646 0.276035 0.799233 2.779719 14.425570